Statisticians reject global cooling
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Newsgroups: rec.gambling.poker
From:
"gtech1" <duanepritch... @comcast.net>
Date: Tue, 03 Nov 2009 16:38:42 -0800
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 1:38 am
Subject: Statisticians reject global cooling
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From:
"La Cosa Nostradamus" <a6f4... @webnntp.invalid>
Date: Tue, 03 Nov 2009 16:44:08 -0800
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 1:44 am
Subject: Re: Statisticians reject global cooling
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From:
"garycarson" <garycar... @alumni.northwestern.edu>
Date: Tue, 03 Nov 2009 17:13:22 -0800
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 2:13 am
Subject: Re: Statisticians reject global cooling
On Nov 3 2009 7:38 PM, gtech1 wrote:
http://climate.weather.com/articles/Statisticians-reject-global-cooli... Read more about this on Andrew Gelman's blog. Hes one that was asked to participate and refused because they were given no context.
He's a Bayesian and believes that with no context you cannot formulate a prior and without a prior you can't do competent analysis. Classical statisticians don't tend to agree with that. It's a long going fundamental debate within the profession.
The AP poll basically didn't just cherry pick data it cherry picked statisticians.
btw, I was not trained as a Bayesian and was a believer in the Classical approach for a very long time. Over the last 20 years or so my thinking has been slowly moving more towards the Bayesian approach.
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From:
"La Cosa Nostradamus" <a6f4... @webnntp.invalid>
Date: Tue, 03 Nov 2009 17:16:33 -0800
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 2:16 am
Subject: Re: Statisticians reject global cooling
On Nov 3 2009 8:13 PM, garycarson wrote:
> The AP poll basically didn't just cherry pick data it cherry picked > statisticians.
Right on ________________________________________________________________________ looking for a better newsgroup-reader? - www.recgroups.com
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From:
johnny_t <nobod... @home.com>
Date: Tue, 03 Nov 2009 19:00:24 -0800
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 4:00 am
Subject: Re: Statisticians reject global cooling
La Cosa Nostradamus wrote: > Dude, it's winter. Of course the world is cooling.
Really? Global phenomena?
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From:
"Irish Mike" <ad7c... @webnntp.invalid>
Date: Wed, 04 Nov 2009 03:06:33 -0800
Local: Wed, Nov 4 2009 12:06 pm
Subject: Re: Statisticians reject global cooling
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From:
"Jerry Sturdivant" <jerr... @cox.net>
Date: Wed, 4 Nov 2009 08:43:00 -0800
Subject: Re: Statisticians reject global cooling
"La Cosa Nostradamus"
> Dude, it's winter. Of course the world is cooling.
I can only hope you're not serious.. Jerry (at the equator) 'n Vegas
- Fatal mouse error. Feed to snake (Y/n)
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From:
Pepe Papon <hitmeis... @mindspring.dot.com.invalid>
Date: Wed, 04 Nov 2009 23:32:29 -0800
Local: Thurs, Nov 5 2009 8:32 am
Subject: Re: Statisticians reject global cooling
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